Schweizerische Gesellschaft für Volkswirtschaft und Statistik
Société suisse d'économie et de statistique
Società svizzera di economia e di statistica
Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics

Published Papers 2009


Paper 2009-II-1

"Retrospective Price Indices and Substitution Bias"

Walter Erwin Diewert, Marco Huwiler, Ulrich Kohli

Abstract:
The consumer price index (CPI) is usually computed as a fixed-weighted Laspeyres price index, with the weights updated at discrete intervals only. It is well known that the Laspeyres functional form entails a substitution bias. One way to reduce it would be to use chained indices, and superlative ones if possible. Unfortunately, the necessary data are often missing. This paper proposes a simple method to retroactively compute the CPI once updated weights become available. The proposed index has the Fisher form. This makes it possible to assess the size of the substitution bias. An application to Swiss data is provided.

Pages: 127-135

JEL classification: C43, E31

Keywords: Price index, inflation, superlative indices, substitution bias

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Contact: Peter Steiner

Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics

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